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Tyler Conklin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Tyler Conklin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2100/-5750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -5750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 65.0% pass rate.

The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a whopping 61.6 per game on average).

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Tyler Conklin to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (5.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

The Jaguars defense has conceded the 2nd-most receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.78 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Tyler Conklin has notched far fewer air yards this season (5.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

Tyler Conklin's 6.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 25.8.

More Tyler Conklin Player Props

Tyler Conklin TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Tyler Conklin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11