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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

With an impressive 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Conklin ranks as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

The New York Giants defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chargers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats reduced) on account of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's game.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.

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