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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.

With a sizeable 77.2% Route Participation% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Conklin stands among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

With a terrific 3.1 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Conklin places as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).

The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.2%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (70.2%).

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