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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Tyler Conklin has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (82.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (67.7%).

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's safety corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.7 plays per game.

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