Tyler Conklin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Conklin

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Conklin

TE · New York Jets

Receptions

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
In this game, Tyler Conklin is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.2 targets.
Tyler Conklin's 34.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for TEs.

Favors Under

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
The Eagles linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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