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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.

With a sizeable 77.2% Route Participation% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Conklin stands among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

Tyler Conklin has accumulated a massive 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).

The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.2%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (70.2%).

Since the start of last season, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a mere 6.2 yards.

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