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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

Tyler Conklin has notched a monstrous 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among TEs.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (58.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Tyler Conklin to be much less involved in his offense's passing game in this week's game (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.2% in games he has played).

Tyler Conklin is positioned as one of the weakest tight ends in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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