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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

Tyler Conklin's 82.5% Route Participation% this year indicates a substantial progression in his air attack usage over last year's 67.7% rate.

In this contest, Tyler Conklin is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.1 targets.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Tyler Conklin's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 74.3% to 78.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

After accruing 39.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Conklin has seen a big decrease this season, currently sitting at 27.0 per game.

The Texans defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 23.0) vs. tight ends this year.

This year, the imposing Texans defense has allowed a mere 55.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the smallest rate in football.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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