My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+417/-919).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -865 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -919.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.6% in games he has played).

Tyler Conklin has accumulated a colossal 32.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.

Tyler Conklin's 29.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 86th percentile for TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the least TDs through the air in the NFL to tight ends: 0.00 per game this year.

The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Tyler Conklin Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™