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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

This year, the shaky Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

The Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Tyler Boyd has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (75.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (87.6%).

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