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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Titans are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Tyler Boyd's 69.4% Snap% this year signifies a noteworthy reduction in his offensive volume over last year's 79.7% figure.
  • The Bills pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.1%) to wide receivers this year (67.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Tennessee Titans.
  • The projections expect the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Tyler Boyd's receiving performance has worsened this season, accumulating a measly 2.7 adjusted catches vs 4.0 last season.

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