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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

Tyler Boyd's 69.5% Snap% this season conveys a substantial regression in his offensive usage over last season's 79.7% figure.

The Colts pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) versus wide receivers this year (74.3%).

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

Tyler Boyd's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, totaling a mere 2.6 adjusted receptions compared to 4.0 last season.

Tyler Boyd's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 74.4% to 61.7%.

More Tyler Boyd Player Props

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