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Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -140.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.The model projects the Titans as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.With a remarkable 87.7% Route Participation Rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Boyd rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.With an outstanding 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Boyd ranks as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL.Tyler Boyd is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing an excellent 73.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) last year.When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable last year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.
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