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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

With a terrific 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (88th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd rates as one of the best possession receivers in football among WRs.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

Tyler Boyd's 71.7% Route Participation% this year shows a substantial drop-off in his pass attack volume over last year's 87.6% mark.

When talking about pocket protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Titans grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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