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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the projection model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Tyler Boyd's 72.2% Route% this season shows a meaningful regression in his passing attack workload over last season's 87.6% figure.

The Titans O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Tyler Boyd's receiving skills have declined this year, accumulating a measly 2.6 adjusted catches compared to 4.0 last year.

Tyler Boyd's 69.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a remarkable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 74.4% rate.

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