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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

Tyler Boyd's 69.5% Snap% this season conveys a substantial regression in his offensive usage over last season's 79.7% figure.

The Colts pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) versus wide receivers this year (74.3%).

The Colts pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 10.30 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

Tyler Boyd has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).

Tyler Boyd's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 74.4% to 61.7%.

More Tyler Boyd Player Props

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