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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Tyler Boyd has run a route on 86.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Dolphins pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.5%) to WRs since the start of last season (69.5%).

The Dolphins linebackers project as the worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Tyler Boyd's 56.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a substantial decline in his receiving ability over last season's 74.4% mark.

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