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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Tyler Boyd has run a route on 87.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Tyler Boyd comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing an exceptional 73.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (68.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

Tyler Boyd profiles as one of the least effective receivers in the league, averaging just 7.07 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 16th percentile among wideouts

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