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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tennessee Titans may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.4 per game) this year.

Tyler Boyd profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in football, hauling in an excellent 71.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

The Jaguars pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 9.31 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

The Jaguars pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.37 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.93 seconds per play.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

Tyler Boyd has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (42.0 per game).

Tyler Boyd's 25.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 38.5.

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