Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
With an exceptional 88.6% Route Participation Rate (84th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd ranks as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
With a terrific 73.5% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd ranks among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among WRs.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
The Cincinnati O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
Tyler Boyd's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a substantial decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 9.7 rate.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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