Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tyler Boyd has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a stellar 73.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Tyler Boyd has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging an impressive 9.70 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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