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Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Tyler Boyd has run a route on 88.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.Tyler Boyd has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching a stellar 74.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among wideouts.Tyler Boyd has been among the best WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 78th percentile.The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in football (68.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (68.5%).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.The New York Jets pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.03 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the NFL.The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
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