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Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+136/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -178.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Falcons O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

With an outstanding 94.1% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Allgeier rates as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year (78.6% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.6% red zone run rate.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

More Tyler Allgeier Player Props

Tyler Allgeier TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8