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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 94.1% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Allgeier places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.
  • The 49ers defense has yielded the 3rd-most TDs through the air in the league to running backs: 0.33 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Among all RBs, Tyler Allgeier ranks in the 83rd percentile for red zone carries this year, comprising 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 22nd percentile for RBs.

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