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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+255/-325).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -325.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football in the red zone (51.0% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Tyler Allgeier has garnered 47.2% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 90.9% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteable drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 100.0% mark.
  • Tyler Allgeier grades out in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.62 touchdowns on the ground per game (94th percentile), Tyler Allgeier has been among the top rushing touchdown-scorers in the league this year.

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