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The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 49.9% red zone run rate.Among all running backs, Tyler Allgeier ranks in the 83rd percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, taking on 47.8% of the volume in his offense's ground game near the end zone.Tyler Allgeier's 4.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 24th percentile for RBs.
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