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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (42.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.
  • The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Tyler Allgeier has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys an impressive decline in his rushing ability over last season's 4.7 figure.
  • This year, the tough Patriots run defense has surrendered a measly 74.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the best in the league.

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