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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (42.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 129.0 total plays called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Vikings run defense has yielded a mere 92.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Minnesota's LB corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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