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Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.4% run rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

Tyler Allgeier's 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a significant diminishment in his rushing prowess over last year's 38.0 rate.

Tyler Allgeier's rushing effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating just 3.75 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.69 rate last year.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's unit has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

More Tyler Allgeier Player Props

Tyler Allgeier Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18