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At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 38.8% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.Tyler Allgeier's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys an impressive regression in his rushing prowess over last season's 4.7 mark.This year, the weak Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a staggering 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 18th-largest rate in football.
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