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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -8-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 38.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys an impressive regression in his rushing prowess over last season's 4.7 mark.
  • This year, the weak Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a staggering 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 27th-largest rate in football.

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