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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Falcons to run on 45.4% of their downs: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 135.3 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Cardinals defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 5.26 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • The Arizona defensive ends rank as the 4th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 26.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a noteable reduction in his rushing skills over last year's 38.0 mark.
  • Tyler Allgeier's rushing efficiency has tailed off this season, compiling just 3.75 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.70 mark last season.

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