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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-111/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 44.7% run rate.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a noteable reduction in his rushing skills over last season's 38.0 mark.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a noteworthy regression in his running prowess over last season's 4.7 rate.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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