Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 14, 2025

Updated Dec 7, 2025 5:12 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.

Favors Under

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Tyler Allgeier has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
Tyler Allgeier's rushing efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 3.67 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.69 figure last year.

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