Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 6:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 47.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

Favors Under

Tyler Allgeier's 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a substantial drop-off in his running skills over last year's 38.0 rate.
Tyler Allgeier's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates a meaningful decrease in his running proficiency over last year's 4.7 mark.
The Jets defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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