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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-focused offense in the NFL (44.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The Saints defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks an impressive diminishment in his running proficiency over last season's 38.0 figure.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this season shows an impressive decline in his rushing ability over last season's 4.7 mark.

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