Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 2nd-most run-focused offense in the NFL (44.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
The Saints defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
Tyler Allgeier's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks an impressive diminishment in his running proficiency over last season's 38.0 figure.
Tyler Allgeier's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this season shows an impressive decline in his rushing ability over last season's 4.7 mark.

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