Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 8:37 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.3% run rate.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Tyler Allgeier's 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a substantial drop-off in his rushing ability over last year's 38.0 mark.
Tyler Allgeier's rushing effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a measly 3.80 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.69 figure last season.
The Panthers defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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