Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 2:27 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+106/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Falcons to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.

Favors Under

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Tyler Allgeier's 22.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a substantial drop-off in his rushing skills over last season's 38.0 mark.
Tyler Allgeier's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a material diminishment in his rushing ability over last season's 4.7 mark.
This year, the strong Colts run defense has given up a puny 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 5th-best in the NFL.

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