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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+106/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Falcons to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 22.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a substantial drop-off in his rushing skills over last season's 38.0 mark.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a material diminishment in his rushing ability over last season's 4.7 mark.
  • This year, the strong Colts run defense has given up a puny 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 5th-best in the NFL.

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