Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Falcons as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
In this contest, Tyler Allgeier is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among running backs with 13.0 rush attempts.
Out of all running backs, Tyler Allgeier ranks in the 81st percentile for carries this year, accounting for 45.0% of the workload in his offense's run game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
Tyler Allgeier has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).
Tyler Allgeier's rushing efficiency has worsened this season, totaling a mere 3.09 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.95 rate last season.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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