Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 8:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Allgeier to be a less important option in his offense's running game this week (26.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (38.1% in games he has played).
The Seattle Seahawks defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.06 yards-per-carry.

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