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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 94.1% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Allgeier places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 22nd percentile for RBs.
  • Tyler Allgeier profiles as one of the worst RB receiving threats this year, averaging a measly 0.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 19th percentile among running backs.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

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