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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Saints pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89.8%) vs. RBs this year (89.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (56.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • With a paltry 0.6 adjusted catches per game (20th percentile) this year, Tyler Allgeier rates among the worst pass-game RBs in the NFL.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 87.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents an impressive reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 100.0% figure.
  • The Saints linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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