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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • With an outstanding 94.1% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Allgeier rates as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (44.0) to RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • Tyler Allgeier slots into just the 20th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with a bad 2.9 mark this year.

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