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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to air yards, Tyler Allgeier grades out in just the 20th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
  • Tyler Allgeier grades out as one of the worst pass-game running backs this year, averaging a measly 5.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 25th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Tyler Allgeier's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 100.0% to 92.9%.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a substantial diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last year's 7.2% figure.
  • This year, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a puny 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

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