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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the predictive model to run only 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • With a lackluster 5.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (23rd percentile) this year, Tyler Allgeier stands as one of the worst pass-game running backs in the NFL.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 90.9% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteable drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 100.0% mark.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a remarkable reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 7.2% figure.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.5%) to running backs this year (77.5%).

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