Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.
Favors Under
With a lackluster 5.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (23rd percentile) this year, Tyler Allgeier stands as one of the worst pass-game running backs in the NFL.
Tyler Allgeier's 90.9% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteable drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 100.0% mark.
Tyler Allgeier's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a remarkable reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 7.2% figure.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.5%) to running backs this year (77.5%).
The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.