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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Carries
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (42.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.
  • The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New England's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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