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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Carries
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-focused offense in the NFL (44.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The Saints defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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