Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 2nd-most run-focused offense in the NFL (44.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
The Saints defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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