Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 8:37 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.3% run rate.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
The Panthers defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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