Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Allgeier to accrue 13.9 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles rank as the best group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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