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Tylan Wallace

Tylan Wallace Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Tylan Wallace Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-1700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1700.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Tylan Wallace has posted far more air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).

The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 48.2% red zone run rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Tylan Wallace to be a less important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line in this game (6.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (22.2% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL versus the Texans defense since the start of last season (64.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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