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Tylan Wallace

Tylan Wallace Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tylan Wallace Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+800/-1450).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +790 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +800.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After averaging 4.0 air yards per game last season, Tylan Wallace has seen a big uptick this season, now averaging 9.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • Tylan Wallace's 7.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the worst in the league: 15th percentile for WRs.

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